No Quiet Place Left on Earth

President Zelensky’s soaring optimism has given way to the reality that America isn’t coming to help,
Ukraine is on its own, and Vladimir Putin is only getting started

Well written and thought out commentary by Vladislav Davidzon, Tablet’s European culture correspondent and a Russian-American writer, translator, and critic. He is the Chief Editor of The Odessa Review and a Non-Resident Fellow at the Atlantic Council. He was born in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, and lives in Paris.

Quote from article:

“Because the Ukrainians have already won the information war, with Twitter full of Russian defeat porn and very little of its opposite, we don’t have a very clear understanding of the actual state of the Ukrainian army, or the state of its reserves or their battle readiness, despite popular and charming videos of Ukrainian farmers stealing Russian T-72 battle tanks using their tractors. As Kofman explains, the Russians will likely reorganize and rearm before attempting to envelop the major Ukrainian cities and using their superior firepower to pound them into submission. More maternity wards are likely to be decimated from the sky.

“War is very contingent and it is hard,” said Kofman. “The Russians will find themselves combat ineffective in the course of a few weeks, so we are likely to see a pause as both sides become combat ineffective. The Russian political leadership had unrealistic expectations, but they are doing all right in the south. The war is starting to get ugly. It’s giving off bad Grozny vibes.”